September 2026

The limits to progress in psychology

How much has psychology left to discover?

Sep 8 • Stefan Schubert

24

2

4

August 2026

The roots of cynicism

Why we underrate the role of ideals and convictions

Aug 28 • Stefan Schubert

38

4

5

The problem with disjunctive existential risk

Suppose that Alice and Bob have different beliefs about existential risk over the next 50 years.

Aug 13 • Stefan Schubert

24

5

3

The response prior

What our track record can tell us about existential risk

Aug 6 • Stefan Schubert

18

3

3

July 2026

Why we’re epistemically flexible but stubbornly self-regarding

A deep-rooted psychological asymmetry

Jul 31 • Stefan Schubert

31

1

5

June 2026

Talk: The case for epistemic discipline

I gave a talk at EAGx Nordics about epistemic discipline, building on my argument-checking of opinion pieces and live debates.

Jun 17 • Stefan Schubert

27

4

2

May 2026

The Rationality Gap

We’re good at solving problems, but not as good at seeing how other people solve theirs

May 20 • Stefan Schubert

60

5

4

The tables have turned on AI sceptics

Epistemic conservatism no longer favours long timelines

May 7 • Stefan Schubert

69

10

8

April 2026

Women don’t think 80 percent of men are below average, and the share of children with a secret dad is far below 10 percent

Juicy stories are often false

Apr 24 • Stefan Schubert

60

7

9

AI economics needs to be weird

AI debates: the relational economy, propaganda predictions, and more

Apr 22 • Stefan Schubert

30

4

4

Will AI drive humans off social media?

Plus: more intelligent Scandinavian men have more children, most ChatGPT users are now women, and more

Apr 20 • Stefan Schubert

26

5